Le Havre vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.55
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
85% (353/414)84% (414/495)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.21
Total shots
138
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
85% (353/414)84% (414/495)
Long passes
45% (22/49)60% (50/84)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)60% (69/115)
Crosses
17% (5/30)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.83
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1211
Tackles
63% (10/16)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4157
Clearances
3131
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.210.78
Goals prevented
0.21-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Guindo D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Dina Ebimbe J. , Balde M. ,
  • 61', Chotard J. 🟨,
  • 65', Delaine T. , Zouaoui Y. ,
  • 65', Zagadou S. , Nego L. ,
  • 72', Doucoure F. , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 72', Ebonog S. , Kechta Y. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Sangante A. , Zouaoui Y. (A),
  • 74', Guindo D. , Locko B. ,
  • 74', Tousart L. , Mboup P. ,
  • 77', Seko A. 🟨,
  • 83', Sangante A. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 90+4', Lala K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
33.6%
Draw
30.2%
Brest
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 29.5% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 30.3% 34.9%

Le Havre - Brest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.84
(2.75)
3.2
(3.23)
2.64
(2.65)
4.3%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Brest will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 24.6%61.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Brest: Doumbia K. (Knee Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Brest were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    26.01.2025 Le Havre - Brest 0:1
    06.10.2024 Brest - Le Havre 2:0
    03.03.2024 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    20.08.2023 Le Havre - Brest 1:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    26.10.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 0:1
    05.10.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 2:2
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    Latest results of Brest
    19.10.2025 Lorient - Brest 3:3
    04.10.2025 Brest - Nantes 0:0
    28.09.2025 Angers - Brest 0:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens17131331:131840
    2PSG17123237:152239
    3Marseille17102536:171932
    4Lille17102533:221132
    5Lyon1793525:17830
    6Rennes1786329:24530
    7Strasbourg1773726:21524
    8Toulouse1765624:22223
    9Monaco1772827:30-323
    10Angers1764718:20-222
    11Brest1764723:27-422
    12Lorient1747620:29-919
    13Le Havre1746715:23-818
    14Nice1753920:30-1018
    15Paris FC1744922:31-916
    16Nantes1735916:28-1214
    17Auxerre17331114:27-1312
    18Metz17331118:38-2012

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