Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 20
- Referee: Sadikovski A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (134/217) | 69% (221/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (134/217) | 69% (221/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (12/49) | 39% (30/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/90) | 57% (50/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Beganovic B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+4', Hodl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Vallci A. 🟨,
- 67', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 68', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 68', Beganovic B. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
- 69', Conde C. ↓, Ronivaldo ↑,
- 73', Dahlqvist I. 🟨,
- 78', Hodl J. ↓, Karic E. ↑,
- 81', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 83', Malic A. 🟨,
- 89', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 90', Riegler D. 🟨,
- 90', Mitchell J. 🟥,
- 90+1', Rozga F. ↓, Aiwu E. ↑,
- 90+6', Moormann M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
47.8% | Draw
28.5% | Blau-Weiss Linz
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.Blau-Weiss Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blau-Weiss Linz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blau-Weiss Linz than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blau-Weiss Linz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.62) |
3.31 ↓
(3.65) |
4 ↓
(5.15) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sturm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sturm is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sturm: Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Inactive)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in BW Linz: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Gazibegovic J.
(Injury)
Kiteishvili O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in BW Linz: Bakatukanda E.
(Injury)
Maier N.
(Inactive)
Weissman S.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Blau-Weiss Linz?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blau-Weiss Linz won against Sturm Graz?
Blau-Weiss Linz has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz were as follows:
19.10.2025
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Sturm Graz
3:4
04.05.2025
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Sturm Graz
0:1
20.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:0
23.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:1
30.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Blau-Weiss Linz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | LASK | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Altach | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Ried | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Tirol | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
