Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (445/509) | 78% (240/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.30 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (445/509) | 78% (240/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (37/55) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 78% (117/150) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (2/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (8/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 35 |
| Clearances |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.64 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Keita A. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Matanovic M. ⚽, Melnyk B. (A),
- 37', Jovicic A. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Peto M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', Demeter M. ↓, Kiss B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Soltesz D. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Colley L. ⚽,
- 66', Cipetic B. ↓, Biro B. ↑,
- 66', Novothny S. ↓, Balogun T. A. ↑,
- 66', Jovicic A. ↓, Chlumecky M. ↑,
- 72', Keita A. ↓, Esiti A. ↑,
- 73', Esiti A. 🟨,
- 73', Szor L. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
- 82', Holdampf G. ↓, Galantai T. ↑,
- 82', Peto M. ↓, Macso M. ↑,
- 82', Kovalenko N. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 90', Molnar G. 🟨,
- 90', Molnar G. 🟥,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kisvárda
60.3% | Draw
22.7% | Diósgyőri
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diósgyőri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kisvárda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diósgyőri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kisvárda - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(2.06) |
4.05 ↑
(3.33) |
5.38 ↑
(3.34) |
8.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kisvárda - Diósgyőri?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kisvárda will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Diósgyőri is Relegated to NB II.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 1.
- Recent form of Kisvárda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Diósgyőri is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kisvárda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kisvárda is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against Diósgyőri?
Kisvárda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Kisvárda?
Diósgyőri has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kisvárda - Diósgyőri were as follows:
01.02.2026
Diósgyőri
-
Kisvárda
1:1
05.10.2025
Kisvárda
-
Diósgyőri
1:0
06.04.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Kisvárda
1:1
10.12.2023
Kisvárda
-
Diósgyőri
1:2
26.08.2023
Diósgyőri
-
Kisvárda
2:0
Latest results of Kisvárda
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 64:30 | 34 | 66 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 64:31 | 33 | 65 |
| 3 | Paks | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 60:45 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Zalaegerszegi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Kisvarda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 45:55 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 53:60 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 | DVTK ✔ | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 38:62 | -24 | 28 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 29:68 | -39 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
DVTK is Relegated to NB II.
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
