Result
3:4 penalties
10/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 14:12, 1 - 0, Gorbunov D. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Korchemkin D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:38, 1 - 1, Yarullin A. (G), Vydrenkov I. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)
- 06:08, 1 - 2, Nedopyokin N. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Shekhovtsov Y. (A2)
- 13:28, 2 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:34, 3 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A), Popov O. (A2)
- 05:05, 3 - 3, Yarullin A. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 2)
- 1, Lutfullin I. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Leontyev A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Nedopyokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Osipov G. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Korenev I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Norilsk
34.7% | Draw
25.6% | SKA-VMF
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Norilsk - SKA-VMF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.45) |
3.65 ↓
(3.98) |
2.35 ↓
(2.45) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.
- Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 2.7:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against SKA-VMF?
Norilsk has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SKA-VMF won against Norilsk?
SKA-VMF has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - SKA-VMF were as follows:
30.11.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
4:0
23.08.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
3:0
23.02.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
3:6
29.09.2024
Norilsk
-
SKA-VMF
5:3
25.12.2023
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
1:3
Latest results of Norilsk
Latest results of SKA-VMF
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 60 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 215:128 | 102 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 60 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 174:90 | 98 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 59 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 215:123 | 91 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 60 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 176:120 | 83 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 157:136 | 77 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 59 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 171:132 | 76 |
| 7 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 59 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 172:156 | 75 |
| 8 | Gornyak | 59 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 176:142 | 75 |
| 9 | Izhevsk ✔ | 59 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 152:132 | 74 |
| 10 | Torpedo Gorky | 61 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 170:138 | 74 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 59 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 156:125 | 74 |
| 12 | Dizel | 60 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 149:136 | 72 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 61 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 144:144 | 72 |
| 14 | Perm | 59 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 138:148 | 72 |
| 15 | CSK VVS | 59 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 160:139 | 71 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 59 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 145:133 | 71 |
| 17 | Bars | 60 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 125:136 | 69 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 59 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 134:145 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 59 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 134:139 | 62 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 59 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 134:143 | 61 |
| 21 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 59 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 152:160 | 60 |
| 22 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 60 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 118:151 | 58 |
| 24 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 59 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 103:150 | 55 |
| 26 | Orsk | 59 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 97:159 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 61 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 128:177 | 51 |
| 28 | Kristall Saratov | 59 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 133:168 | 50 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 61 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 128:190 | 49 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 60 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 117:163 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 59 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 131:186 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 60 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 117:176 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
