Lithuania vs Latvia, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Lithuania - Latvia
06/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, CT sport Plus
finlandFinlandRuutu+
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceERT 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Chances of winning


Lithuania
32.5%
Latvia
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Latvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lithuania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Latvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lithuania - Latvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.91)

    1.41
    (1.46)
    5.2%
    (2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Lithuania - Latvia?
  • Users Predictions: Lithuania will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.04%98.96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lithuania will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 3.
    • Lithuania is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Latvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Latvia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 882:829. (average 80.2:75.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lithuania - Latvia were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Latvia - Lithuania 105:109
    09.09.2023 Latvia - Lithuania 98:63
    22.08.2023 Lithuania - Latvia 93:69
    Latest results of Lithuania
    03.09.2025 Lithuania - Sweden 74:71
    01.09.2025 Finland - Lithuania 78:81
    30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67
    27.08.2025 Great Britain - Lithuania 70:94
    Latest results of Latvia
    03.09.2025 Czech Republic - Latvia 75:109
    01.09.2025 Portugal - Latvia 62:78
    30.08.2025 Latvia - Serbia 80:84
    29.08.2025 Estonia - Latvia 70:72
    27.08.2025 Latvia - Turkey 73:93
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey550459:35910
    2Serbia541434:3689
    3Latvia532412:3848
    4Portugal523315:3687
    5Estonia514352:3976
    6Czech Republic505338:4345


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany550529:36510
    2Lithuania541431:3939
    3Finland532426:4068
    4Sweden514403:4186
    5Montenegro514378:4556
    6Great Britain514354:4846


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Greece541432:3549
    2Italy541396:3339
    3Bosnia & Herzegovina532401:4018
    4Georgia523367:3867
    5Spain523397:3547
    6Cyprus505295:4605


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France541461:3919
    2Poland532400:3878
    3Slovenia532469:4528
    4Israel532417:4018
    5Belgium523363:4037
    6Iceland505363:4395

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)