Rochdale vs York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 46
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
15
Corner kicks
26
Yellow cards
51
Total shots
410
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Banks O. 🟨,
  • 35', East R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Gilmour H. 🟨,
  • 67', East R. , Pettit C. ,
  • 67', Hannant L. , Barlow A. ,
  • 67', Rodney D. , Henderson I. ,
  • 69', Hunt A. , Grey J. ,
  • 69', King J. , Fallowfield R. ,
  • 69', Banks O. , Batty D. ,
  • 75', Brookes B. , Howe C. ,
  • 76', Adebayo-Rowling T. , Pritchard J. ,
  • 84', Gilmour H. , Smith T. ,
  • 88', Pearce O. , Olley G. ,
  • 90+2', Pritchard J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ,
  • 90+6', Smith T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Dieseruvwe E. 🟨,
  • 90+13', 1 - 1, Stones J. ,

Chances of winning


Rochdale
35.2%
Draw
27.7%
York City
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 26.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 26% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rochdale - York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.99)
    3.35
    (3.49)
    2.49
    (2.19)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rochdale - York City?
  • Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Replayed if draw.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 0.
    • Rochdale is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • York is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - York City were as follows:
    11.11.2025 York City - Rochdale 4:1
    11.10.2025 Rochdale - York City 1:2
    25.03.2025 Rochdale - York City 0:4
    20.08.2024 York City - Rochdale 1:0
    16.12.2023 Rochdale - York City 0:0
    Latest results of Rochdale
    18.04.2026 Braintree Town - Rochdale 1:2
    11.04.2026 Rochdale - Wealdstone 2:1
    03.04.2026 Rochdale - Morecambe 2:4
    28.03.2026 Sutton United - Rochdale 1:2
    Latest results of York City
    18.04.2026 York City - Yeovil Town 3:0
    11.04.2026 Tamworth - York City 0:1
    06.04.2026 York City - Altrincham 2:1
    03.04.2026 Boston United - York City 0:1
    28.03.2026 York City - Woking 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)2 : 1
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rochdale (2)Boreham Wood (4)