Olimpia Grudziądz vs Skra Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 13:23 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
124
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Sobczak K. ,
  • 40', Ciupa I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kaczmarek T. , Gutowski K. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Koperski F. ,
  • 65', Koperski F. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Rychert K. ,
  • 84', Rychert K. , Wojcik F. ,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Grudziądz
70.9%
Draw
18.9%
Skra Częstochowa
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.7% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 21.9% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.
  • Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skra Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.49)
    4.89
    (4)
    9.08
    (5.6)
    8.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Skra Częstochowa (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skra Częstochowa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.
    • Olimpia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Skra Częstochowa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz 2:1
    15.03.2024 Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz 0:0
    02.09.2023 Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa 0:0
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice30195661:382362
    2Warta Poznan301610451:331858
    3Ol. Grudziadz30159661:392254
    4Podhale Nowy Targ301213540:281249
    5Sandecja Nowy S301212647:351248
    6Podbeskidzie301461055:411448
    7Slask Wroclaw II301371052:421046
    8Chojniczanka301110948:41743
    9Bielsko-Biala3010101041:44-340
    10Swit Szczecin301171246:53-740
    11R. Rzeszow301091142:40239
    12Hutnik Krakow301091142:37539
    13S. Wola30715847:41636
    14Kleczew30971443:50-734
    15KKS Kalisz307101333:46-1331
    16Zaglebie Sosnowiec30871533:55-2231
    17LKS Lodz II30591629:54-2524
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 30072318:72-546

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to