Italy vs Slovenia, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Italy - Slovenia
07/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Italy
61.2%
Slovenia
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.
  • Slovenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovenia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Italy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovenia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Italy - Slovenia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.46)

    2.44
    (2.91)
    5.3%
    (2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 175.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Italy - Slovenia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Slovenia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Italy is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Slovenia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Italy could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 384:431. (average 76.8:86.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Slovenia were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Italy - Slovenia 85:89
    Latest results of Italy
    04.09.2025 Italy - Cyprus 89:54
    02.09.2025 Italy - Spain 67:63
    30.08.2025 Italy - Georgia 78:62
    28.08.2025 Greece - Italy 75:66
    Latest results of Slovenia
    04.09.2025 Israel - Slovenia 96:106
    02.09.2025 Iceland - Slovenia 79:87
    31.08.2025 Slovenia - Belgium 86:69
    30.08.2025 France - Slovenia 103:95
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey550459:35910
    2Serbia541434:3689
    3Latvia532412:3848
    4Portugal523315:3687
    5Estonia514352:3976
    6Czech Republic505338:4345


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany550529:36510
    2Lithuania541431:3939
    3Finland532426:4068
    4Sweden514403:4186
    5Montenegro514378:4556
    6Great Britain514354:4846


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Greece541432:3549
    2Italy541396:3339
    3Bosnia & Herzegovina532401:4018
    4Georgia523367:3867
    5Spain523397:3547
    6Cyprus505295:4605


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France541461:3919
    2Poland532400:3878
    3Slovenia532469:4528
    4Israel532417:4018
    5Belgium523363:4037
    6Iceland505363:4395

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