Police FC vs Shabana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Gilbert A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Police FC
40.4%
Draw
33.7%
Shabana
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 31.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 30.3% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police FC's form might have worsened.
  • Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Police FC - Shabana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.92)
    2.7
    (2.9)
    3.51
    (4.41)
    9.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 9).
    • Police is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Shabana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shabana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Police is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Police won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police FC - Shabana were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Shabana - Police FC 1:0
    17.02.2024 Police FC - Shabana 1:0
    16.09.2023 Shabana - Police FC 1:1
    Latest results of Police FC
    26.11.2025 Bidco United - Police FC 2:3
    22.11.2025 Police FC - Mathare United 1:0
    16.11.2025 Tusker - Police FC 1:2
    09.11.2025 Police FC - Gor Mahia 0:2
    05.11.2025 Police FC - Sofapaka 1:0
    Latest results of Shabana
    23.11.2025 Muranga Seal - Shabana 1:1
    09.11.2025 Ulinzi Stars - Shabana 0:1
    29.10.2025 Shabana - AFC Leopards 1:2
    26.10.2025 Shabana - Mathare United 0:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8KCB2396823:24-133
    9Bandari23711519:17232
    10Nairobi United2086626:21530
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League