Result
3:4
19/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 11:37, 0 - 1, Tarasov M. (G), Nekrasov N. (A),
- 11:48, 0 - 2, Nekrasov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:01, 0 - 3, Khremkin K. (G),
- 13:16, 1 - 3, Marin M. (G), Smirnov N. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 06:27, 2 - 3, Manukyan A. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A),
- 15:42, 2 - 4, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
- 16:23, 3 - 4, Smirnov N. (G), Minnekhanov T. (A),
Chances of winning
Chelny
28.3% | Draw
23.1% | Gornyak-UGMK
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gornyak-UGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.54) |
4.01 ↓
(4.08) |
1.9 ↑
(1.79) |
8.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Chelny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gornyak-UGMK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chelny won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Chelny has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Chelny?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
03.10.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Chelny
5:0
11.12.2024
Chelny
-
Gornyak-UGMK
2:5
01.12.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Chelny
2:3
18.02.2024
Chelny
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:1
10.09.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Chelny
3:1
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 56 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 196:122 | 94 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 55 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 151:85 | 90 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 55 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 196:111 | 83 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 54 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 160:120 | 70 |
| 6 | Gornyak | 55 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 161:134 | 69 |
| 7 | Perm | 55 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 133:139 | 69 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 9 | CSK VVS | 54 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 153:125 | 68 |
| 10 | Ryazan | 54 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 146:128 | 68 |
| 11 | Dizel | 55 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 54 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 155:144 | 67 |
| 13 | Omskie Krylia | 55 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 145:122 | 67 |
| 14 | Krasnoyarsk | 57 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 134:138 | 66 |
| 15 | Torpedo Gorky | 54 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 151:125 | 64 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 55 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 131:125 | 64 |
| 17 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 55 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 127:137 | 62 |
| 19 | Kurgan | 55 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 129:130 | 59 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 55 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 146:141 | 58 |
| 21 | Zvezda Moscow | 54 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 119:125 | 57 |
| 22 | AKM | 55 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 24 | 124:153 | 56 |
| 23 | Tambov | 55 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 136:151 | 54 |
| 24 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 25 | Olympia | 54 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 95:140 | 49 |
| 26 | Orsk | 53 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 86:140 | 47 |
| 27 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 28 | Buran Voronezh | 56 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 117:166 | 47 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 54 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 116:154 | 44 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 55 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 109:153 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 54 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 122:168 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 55 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 110:167 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
