Lyon vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceLigue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (310/367)79% (213/271)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.16
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
84% (310/367)79% (213/271)
Long passes
58% (29/50)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
75% (87/116)64% (51/80)
Crosses
30% (9/30)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.37
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1418
Tackles
80% (8/10)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.160.76
Goals prevented
1.16-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Nego L. 🟨,
  • 37', Morton T. 🟨,
  • 38', Soumare I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
  • 63', Nego L. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
  • 63', Kechta Y. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
  • 68', Ndiaye R. 🟨,
  • 71', Seko A. 🟨,
  • 71', Namli Y. 🟨,
  • 73', Merah K. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
  • 73', Satriano M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
  • 74', Niakhate M. 🟨,
  • 78', Namli Y. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
  • 78', Samatta A. ↓, Obougou N. ↑,
  • 85', Hateboer H. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
  • 89', Sulc P. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lyon
57.5%		Draw
24.2%		Le Havre
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.8% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 22.4% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
    •

    Lyon - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↑
    (1.55)    		 3.93 ↓
    (4.16)    		 5.23 ↓
    (5.86)    		 4.7%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lyon - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 62.8% – 89.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Lyon (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Le Havre (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lyon (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • Lyon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Maitland-Niles A. (Red Card) Mangala O. (Muscle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tessmann T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Ebonog S. (Injury) Khadra R. (Inactive) Toure A. (Injury) Zagadou S. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Le Havre were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    20.10.2024 Le Havre - Lyon 0:4
    14.01.2024 Le Havre - Lyon 3:1
    17.09.2023 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    11.12.2025 Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Lorient - Lyon 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lyon 0:6 ✺
    23.11.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    07.12.2025 Le Havre - Paris FC 0:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Le Havre - Lille 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 3:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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