Otago vs Taranaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Otago - Taranaki
Result
28:26
13/09/2025 at 00:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 7)
  • 2nd Half (16 - 19)

Chances of winning


Otago
46.5%
Draw
3.8%
Taranaki
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 3.8% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 3.7% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Taranaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Otago - Taranaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.16)
    24.67
    (24)
    1.86
    (1.71)
    7.9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Otago - Taranaki?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 - Otago (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Otago will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Otago will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago won 1.
    • Otago is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Taranaki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Otago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Otago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 176:193. (average 25.1:27.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Otago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 75:93. (average 25:31).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Otago - Taranaki were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Taranaki - Otago 22:18
    16.09.2023 Otago - Taranaki 17:36
    Latest results of Otago
    05.09.2025 Otago - Northland 29:10
    30.08.2025 Tasman - Otago 27:31
    23.08.2025 Otago - Counties Manukau 33:19
    16.08.2025 Wellington - Otago 41:46
    10.08.2025 Otago - Hawkes Bay 21:27
    Latest results of Taranaki
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    29.08.2025 Counties Manukau - Taranaki 22:43
    22.08.2025 Taranaki - Waikato 22:23
    16.08.2025 Auckland - Taranaki 8:50
    08.08.2025 North Harbour - Taranaki 24:46
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Canterbury8701273:13530
    2Otago8602246:20526
    3Taranaki8503265:17523
    4Hawke's Bay8503239:18822
    5Waikato8503204:23122
    6Bay of Plenty7403191:12820
    7Tasman8404228:20319
    8Northland7403162:16916
    9Manawatu7304194:26214
    10Counties Manukau8305238:25314
    11Wellington8305275:26514
    12Southland8305159:29613
    13Auckland8206208:28311
    14North Harbour7007144:2333

          Promotion ~ Bunnings NPC (Play Offs: )