Union Berlin vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Union Berlin - Real Madrid
Result
2:3
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hungaryHungarySport 1
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
27.2%
Draw
26.4%
Real Madrid
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 24.1% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 24% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Union Berlin - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.61)
    3.64
    (3.94)
    2.07
    (1.92)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Galavisión
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 12 - 13%). Real will win (votes: 72 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.9%86.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Olympiastadion.
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent matches Union Berlin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bonucci L. (Yellow Cards) Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Tousart L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Calf Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Becker S. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Real: Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Real Madrid were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Real Madrid - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    09.12.2023 Betis - Real Madrid 1:1
    02.12.2023 Real Madrid - Granada 2:0
    29.11.2023 Real Madrid - Napoli 4:2
    26.11.2023 Cádiz - Real Madrid 0:3
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG11003:123
    2Arsenal11002:023
    3Qarabag11003:213
    4Real Madrid11002:113
    5Tottenham11001:013
    6Dortmund10104:401
    7Juventus10104:401
    8Chelsea00000:000
    9Liverpool00000:000
    10Manchester City00000:000
    11Newcastle00000:000
    12Monaco00000:000
    13PSG00000:000
    14Napoli00000:000
    15Slavia Prague00000:000
    16Club Brugge KV00000:000
    17Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    18Bayern Munich00000:000
    19Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    20Inter00000:000
    21Atalanta00000:000
    22Ajax00000:000
    23Barcelona00000:000
    24Atl. Madrid00000:000
    25Pafos00000:000
    26FC Copenhagen00000:000
    27Olympiacos Piraeus00000:000
    28Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    29Sporting CP00000:000
    30Galatasaray00000:000
    31Kairat Almaty00000:000
    32Benfica10012:3-10
    33Marseille10011:2-10
    34Villarreal10010:1-10
    35PSV10011:3-20
    36Ath Bilbao10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)