Ibiza vs Real Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Davo , Castillo F. (A),
  • 16', Medina U. 🟨,
  • 41', del Olmo I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Indias I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Djanbou S. , Sanchez J. G. ,
  • 46', Jorquera Romero J. , Narro V. ,
  • 55', Zenitagoia E. 🟨,
  • 58', Gil O. 🟨,
  • 61', Zenitagoia E. , Leon P. ,
  • 68', Indias I. , Valls T. ,
  • 68', del Olmo I. , Nsukula G. ,
  • 69', Gil O. , Joao Pedro Palmberg ,
  • 70', Davo , Svensson M. ,
  • 75', Leon P. 🟨,
  • 76', Narro V. 🟨,
  • 81', Bebe , Incera I. ,
  • 81', Castillo F. , El Ftouhi S. ,
  • 84', Romero C. 🟨,
  • 85', Benito P. A. P. , Meca A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ibiza
41.4%
Draw
32.1%
Real Murcia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 30.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ibiza - Real Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.45)
    2.84
    (2.97)
    3.46
    (3.01)
    9.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ibiza - Real Murcia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ibiza - Real Murcia were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:2
    02.03.2025 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:2
    30.11.2024 Ibiza - Real Murcia 1:2
    30.07.2024 Ibiza - Real Murcia 1:2
    17.03.2024 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:0
    Latest results of Ibiza
    11.01.2026 Cartagena - Ibiza 1:4
    04.01.2026 Ibiza - Eldense 0:1
    21.12.2025 Alcorcón - Ibiza 2:2
    14.12.2025 Ibiza - Villarreal B 0:0
    07.12.2025 Sabadell - Ibiza 2:0
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    11.01.2026 Real Murcia - Hércules 1:1
    30.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:2
    21.12.2025 Real Murcia - CE Europa 3:1
    18.12.2025 Real Murcia - Betis 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell351714448:222665
    2Eldense341711650:321862
    3Atl. Madrid B351710856:381861
    4Villarreal B351513748:282058
    5CE Europa351511948:43556
    6FC Cartagena SAD3514111032:32053
    7Algeciras3514101138:36252
    8Teruel3512121126:29-348
    9UD Ibiza3512111238:32647
    10Alcorcon3511141036:33347
    11Antequera351381442:43-147
    12Hercules3512111238:39-147
    13Murcia3512101336:37-146
    14Torremolinos3510131242:45-343
    15Gimnastic351271637:45-843
    16Tarazona3510121329:35-642
    17Betis B351081741:56-1538
    18Marbella34871930:44-1431
    19Sanluqueno ✔ 35782026:51-2529
    20Sevilla FC B ✔ 355111918:39-2126

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sanluqueno is Relegated to
    Sevilla FC B is Relegated to