Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Feniks-Mariupol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Cup Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol
18/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Official Live

Chances of winning


Metalurh Zaporizhya
35.2%
Draw
30.4%
Feniks-Mariupol
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 31.5% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 30.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.44)
    3.03
    (2.95)
    2.68
    (3.07)
    8.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Metalurh Z has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Feniks-Mariupol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol 1:0
    06.09.2024 Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya 1:1
    19.11.2023 Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol 0:0
    17.09.2023 Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya 2:2
    Latest results of Metalurh Zaporizhya
    Latest results of Feniks-Mariupol
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Kolos PolonneNaftovyk Dolyna1 : 0
    2Metalist 1925Obolon2 : 0
    3OleksandriyaBye
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5FazendaSK Metalurh0 : 1
    6UzhhorodFenix Mariupol1 : 2
    7Livyi BeregKudrivka1 : 0
    8ViktoriaVorskla Poltava1 : 0
    9Karbon CherkasyInhulets1 : 2
    10Podillya KhmelnytskyiSkala 19111 : 0
    11Kormil YavorivRukh Lviv1 : 2
    12ByePolissya Zhytomyr
    13Polissya StavkyRebel Kyiv3 : 0
    14ByeShakhtar Donetsk
    15EpitsentrAhrotekh Tyshkivka1 : 2
    16Ch. OdesaFK Zorya Luhansk2 : 1
    17Nyva VinnytsyaUCSA3 : 0
    18Hirnyk-SportTrostyanets1 : 0
    19Metalist KharkivMayak Sarny2 : 0
    20LNZ CherkasyProbiy Horodenka1 : 0
    21FC VilkhivtsiOlympia Savyntsi1 : 2
    22ChaikaLisne0 : 4
    23Denhoff DenykhivkaPrykarpattya3 : 2
    24Dinaz VyshgorodAhrobiznes Volochysk0 : 3
    25FC ChernihivAtlet Kiev1 : 0
    26KulikivKryvbas0 : 3
    27LozovaBukovyna0 : 3
    28Penuel Kryvyi RihKarpaty Lviv0 : 8
    29Lokomotyv KyivKolos Kovalivka3 : 2
    30KorostenVeres-Rivne0 : 4
    31Real PharmaNyva Ternopil0 : 3
    32IronSC Poltava1 : 5

    1/16-finals
    1Kolos PolonneMetalist 1925
    2OleksandriyaDyn. Kyiv1 : 2
    3SK MetalurhFenix Mariupol
    4Livyi BeregViktoria0 : 1
    5InhuletsPodillya Khmelnytskyi
    6Rukh LvivPolissya Zhytomyr
    7Polissya StavkyShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    8Ahrotekh TyshkivkaCh. Odesa
    9Nyva VinnytsyaHirnyk-Sport
    10Metalist KharkivLNZ Cherkasy0 : 2
    11Olympia SavyntsiLisne
    12Denhoff DenykhivkaAhrobiznes Volochysk
    13FC ChernihivKryvbas1 : 2
    14BukovynaKarpaty Lviv
    15Lokomotyv KyivVeres-Rivne
    16Nyva TernopilSC Poltava