AZ Alkmaar vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
74.9%
Draw
15.6%
Zrinjski Mostar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.9% 17.1% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 14.5% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.31)
    6
    (5.51)
    10.05
    (8.53)
    5.8%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 74.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match AZ is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Zrinjski: Barisic H. (Injury) Ticinovic M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar were as follows:
    21.09.2023 Zrinjski Mostar - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 3:0
    12.11.2023 Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    09.11.2023 Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    04.11.2023 Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa 1:4
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2