Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
25/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Raith TV

Match Stats

Yellow cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Ross C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Hamilton J. , Cameron I. ,
  • 52', McGinty S. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Easton D. , Cameron I. (A),
  • 63', Devine A. , McGrattan L. ,
  • 63', Gallagher G. , MacDonald D. ,
  • 72', Nsio P. 🟨,
  • 74', Stevenson L. 🟨,
  • 74', Henderson E. , Hastie J. ,
  • 74', McKinnon C. , Constable S. ,
  • 74', Telfer Ch. , McMaster D. ,
  • 79', Winter A. , Mullin J. ,
  • 79', Easton D. , Matthews R. ,
  • 85', Vaughan L. 🟨,
  • 85', Vaughan L. , Chin R. ,
  • 85', Doherty J. , Rowe J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Hastie J. , Constable S. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 5)
  • 1, Mullin J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Stirton O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Hanlon P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Mochrie C. R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Matthews R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, McGrattan L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Rowe J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Hastie J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Cameron I. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Airdrieonians
19.8%
Draw
33.1%
Raith Rovers
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 28.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 27.8% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Airdrieonians's form might have worsened.
  • Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raith Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Airdrieonians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raith Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.13
    (2.84)
    3.35
    (3.21)
    2.34
    (2.26)
    -11.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Raith (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raith (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers 0:0
    15.11.2025 Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians 0:3
    20.09.2025 Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers 0:0
    12.04.2025 Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians 1:1
    25.02.2025 Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers 1:0
    Latest results of Airdrieonians
    Latest results of Raith Rovers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1ArbroathKelty Hearts3 : 2
    2Elgin CityEast Fife2 : 3
    3AlloaAirdrieonians2 : 3
    4MontroseSpartans2 : 1
    5Queen's ParkClyde2 : 1
    6Forfar AthleticEdinburgh City2 : 1
    7RaithHamilton5 : 2
    8Queen of SouthDunfermline4 : 3
    9Hearts BSt Johnstone0 : 1
    10Ross CountyCeltic B4 : 0
    11AyrPeterhead2 : 1
    12East KilbrideStranraer1 : 4
    13Cove RangersPartick Thistle1 : 2
    14DumbartonInverness0 : 9
    15StirlingMorton3 : 2
    16StenhousemuirAnnan2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArbroathEast Fife3 : 0
    2AirdrieoniansMontrose3 : 1
    3Queen's ParkForfar Athletic2 : 0
    4RaithQueen of South1 : 0
    5St JohnstoneRoss County2 : 0
    6AyrStranraer4 : 1
    7Partick ThistleInverness3 : 4
    8StirlingStenhousemuir1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArbroathAirdrieonians2 : 3
    2Queen's ParkRaith1 : 2
    3St JohnstoneAyr3 : 4
    4InvernessStenhousemuir1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1AirdrieoniansRaith1 : 2
    2AyrInverness1 : 2

    Final
    1RaithInverness