Mladost Donja Gorica vs Arsenal Tivat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Montenegrin First League Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat
Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
146
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
198
Shots on target
146
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Almeida S. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Jovanovic A. (Pen),
  • 83', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mladost Donja Gorica
56.4%
Draw
25.2%
Arsenal Tivat
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 26.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 25.9% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mladost Donja Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mladost Donja Gorica's performance.
  • Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tivat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Donja Gorica than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mladost Donja Gorica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tivat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.38)
    5.12
    (3.43)
    6.99
    (2.64)
    -22.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation) and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Donja Gorica won 3.
    • Recent form of Mladost Donja Gorica has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arsenal Tivat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mladost Donja Gorica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mladost Donja Gorica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Arsenal Tivat - Mladost Donja Gorica 3:1
    17.03.2024 Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat 1:2
    26.11.2023 Arsenal Tivat - Mladost Donja Gorica 0:2
    16.09.2023 Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat 2:1
    Latest results of Mladost Donja Gorica
    Latest results of Arsenal Tivat
    17.09.2025 Arsenal Tivat - Bokelj 2:1
    13.09.2025 Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat 2:0
    30.08.2025 Arsenal Tivat - Jezero 2:2
    24.08.2025 Petrovac - Arsenal Tivat 0:0
    Montenegrin First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sutjeska1052317:10717
    2Decic1052314:16-217
    3Petrovac1036114:8615
    4Jezero1035217:13414
    5Arsenal Tivat1035210:10014
    6Buducnost1034311:10113
    7Mornar Bar1034313:15-213
    8Jedinstvo103439:12-313
    9Mladost DG1031617:20-310
    10Bokelj1013612:20-86

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation