Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 14
- Referee: Scholz L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (303/425) | 68% (234/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (303/425) | 68% (234/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/69) | 28% (19/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/102) | 54% (74/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Magerl J. 🟨,
- 20', Feiersinger L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bremer P. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Jessen S. ⚽,
- 53', Achcinska A. 🟨,
- 55', Krug V. 🟨,
- 61', Baum L. 🟨,
- 72', Chmielinski G. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,
- 82', Achcinska A. ↓, Hasenauer Z. ↑,
- 84', Joly L. ↓, Oteng P. ↑,
- 88', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Kadowaki M. ↑,
- 90+3', Norheim A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hasenauer Z. 🟨,
- 90+7', Gerhardt A. ↓, Bohnen A. ↑,
- 90+7', Kadowaki M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
32.9% | Draw
25.2% | Köln
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
RB Leipzig - Köln Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.81) |
3.59 ↓
(3.67) |
2.17 ↓
(2.23) |
10.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).
- RB Leipzig has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Köln has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Köln will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Köln?
RB Leipzig has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against RB Leipzig?
Köln has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Köln were as follows:
06.09.2025
Köln
-
RB Leipzig
0:2
16.12.2024
Köln
-
RB Leipzig
1:3
01.09.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Köln
2:1
03.02.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Köln
2:1
17.09.2023
Köln
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 71:6 | 65 | 52 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 53:26 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 32 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Koln W | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:48 | -32 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
