Result
0:1
04/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 0 - 1, D'Anna S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paganese
50.3% | Draw
28.2% | Nardo
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paganese's performance.Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paganese - Nardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.17) |
3.23 ↓
(3.33) |
4.23 ↑
(2.92) |
10%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Paganese is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Paganese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Nardo?
Paganese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nardo won against Paganese?
Nardo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paganese - Nardo were as follows:
07.09.2025
Nardo
-
Paganese
1:2
14.01.2024
Paganese
-
Nardo
1:1
17.09.2023
Nardo
-
Paganese
1:1
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta ✔ | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio ✔ | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano ✔ | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 4 | Paganese ✔ | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gravina | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 47:38 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Sarnese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 40 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Manfredonia | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 40 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Heraclea ✔ | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Pompei | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 20:41 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana ✔ | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19:72 | -53 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barletta is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Martina Calcio is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Citta di Fasano is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Paganese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Heraclea is Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out )
Acerrana is Relegated to
