Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 38
- Referee: Perez M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (298/364) | 87% (433/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (298/364) | 87% (433/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/85) | 80% (102/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Nino F. 🟨,
- 20', Curro 🟨,
- 37', Cordoba I. 🟨,
- 39', Febas A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Alex Sancris 🟨,
- 57', Alex Sancris ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
- 60', Salinas J. 🟨,
- 61', Plano O. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 61', Rashani E. ↓, Pejino ↑,
- 71', Valera G. 🟨,
- 75', Febas A. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
- 75', Castro N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 77', Cordoba I. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 77', Curro ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 82', Valera G. ↓, Josan ↑,
- 87', 0 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, Josan (A),
- 89', Atienza M. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 90+3', Arroyo A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/499jtcz3
Chances of winning
Burgos
28.3% | Draw
31.3% | Elche
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Burgos - Elche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↓
(3.37) |
2.99 ↓
(3.01) |
2.34 ↑
(2.32) |
5.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Burgos - Elche?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Elche will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Elche (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Burgos (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Burgos (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Burgos (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 3 - 60%). Elche (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- Recent performances by Burgos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Elche is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burgos: Appin K.
(Knee Injury)
Exposito M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ojeda D.
(Yellow Cards)
Quintanilla R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Elche: Alvarez A.
(Knee Injury)
Diaby B.
(Injury)
Mendoza R.
(Illness)
Santiago Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Elche?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Burgos?
Elche has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Elche were as follows:
27.10.2024
Elche
-
Burgos
1:0
02.02.2024
Elche
-
Burgos
2:0
23.09.2023
Burgos
-
Elche
4:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
