Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (460/548) | 83% (337/406) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (460/548) | 83% (337/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (44/77) | 45% (17/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (52/78) | 77% (136/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Steffen R. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Roche J. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
- 49', Mai L. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Steffen R. (A),
- 62', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 64', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
- 64', Bergvall T. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
- 64', Traore S. ↓, Janneh O. ↑,
- 71', Mai L. ↓, Joao Carbone ↑,
- 71', Dos Santos D. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
- 79', Diakite G. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Mollet F. ⚽, Janneh O. (A),
- 81', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 81', Steffen R. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 86', Cimignani Y. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 87', Alioski E. 🟨,
- 88', Soppy B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Grgic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
51.6% | Draw
25.2% | Lausanne-Sport
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne-Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne-Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - Lausanne-Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.12) |
3.71 ↑
(3.61) |
4.04 ↑
(3.23) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Lausanne-Sport?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lugano (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lausanne-Sport (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Lausanne-Sport (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0.
- Lugano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lausanne-Sport is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Lausanne-Sport?
Lugano has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne-Sport won against Lugano?
Lausanne-Sport has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
07.12.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Lugano
0:0
17.09.2025
Lugano
-
Lausanne-Sport
1:1
18.05.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Lugano
1:1
21.04.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Lugano
2:0
15.12.2024
Lugano
-
Lausanne-Sport
1:4
Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 27 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 64 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Lugano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Basel | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Sion | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 55:52 | 3 | 39 |
| 7 | Luzern | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 53:51 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 39:53 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 30:77 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
