Result
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
16.9% | Draw
21.2% | AZ Alkmaar
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.61 ↓
(5.8) |
4.48 ↑
(4.44) |
1.53 ↑
(1.53) |
5.6%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.
- Recent form of Heracles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, AZ has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Engels M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Parrott T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 26:53. (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heracles Almelo?
AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
13.04.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
27.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:3
01.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
03.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:0
28.09.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | PSV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Nijmegen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Twente | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
