Toulouse vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.08
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
162
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
84% (272/325)90% (545/608)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.320.55
Total shots
162
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
345
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (272/325)90% (545/608)
Long passes
48% (11/23)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)73% (54/74)
Crosses
47% (7/15)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.18
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1411
Tackles
77% (10/13)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.553.32
Goals prevented
0.55-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Magri F. , Emersonn (A),
  • 8', 2 - 0, Donnum A. (Pen),
  • 34', Abuashvili G. 🟨,
  • 37', Magri F. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sane S. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Abuashvili G. , Yegbe T. ,
  • 64', Magri F. , McKenzie M. ,
  • 64', Sidibe D. , Sauer M. ,
  • 71', Traore B. , Deminguet J. ,
  • 71', Ballo-Toure F. , Tsitaishvili G. ,
  • 75', Emersonn 🟨,
  • 76', Emersonn , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 76', Methalie D. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Gboho Y. , Cresswell C. (A),
  • 83', Gboho Y. , Vignolo J. ,
  • 83', Hein G. , Sane I. ,
  • 84', Diallo H. , Asoro J. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Cresswell C. , Donnum A. (A),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
61.9%
Draw
22.5%
Metz
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.5% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 20.2% 18.5%

Toulouse - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.56)
4.27
(4.04)
6.15
(5.96)
4.1%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). Metz will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 46.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Toulouse is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Ankle Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Stambouli B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Ballo-Toure F. (Neck Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Metz were as follows:
    14.01.2024 Metz - Toulouse 0:1
    01.10.2023 Toulouse - Metz 3:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Metz
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    14.09.2025 Metz - Angers 1:1
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

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