Matera vs Paganese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Matera - Paganese
Result
1:0
21/01/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Matera
42.7%
Draw
29.5%
Paganese
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 30.2% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 31.2% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Matera - Paganese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.03)
    3.04
    (3.02)
    3.22
    (3.67)
    11.6%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Matera won 1.
    • Recent matches Matera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paganese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Matera will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Matera won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Matera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matera - Paganese were as follows:
    24.09.2023 Paganese - Matera 4:1
    Latest results of Matera
    14.01.2024 Angri - Matera 1:1
    07.01.2024 Matera - Città di Fasano 1:0
    20.12.2023 Matera - Altamura 0:1
    17.12.2023 Martina Calcio - Matera 2:0
    10.12.2023 Matera - Casarano 3:1
    Latest results of Paganese
    14.01.2024 Paganese - Nardo 1:1
    07.01.2024 Barletta - Paganese 0:1
    10.12.2023 Paganese - Angri 2:0
    03.12.2023 Altamura - Paganese 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Citta di Fasano541010:3713
    2Fidelis Andria53209:3611
    3Martina Calcio53208:3511
    4Paganese53026:429
    5Virtus Francavilla522111:838
    6SS Nola 192552218:718
    7Francavilla52216:518
    8Afragolese52128:807
    9Sarnese52128:9-17
    10Heraclea52124:5-17
    11Barletta51315:506
    12Pompei51311:106
    13Manfredonia51138:11-34
    14Ferrandina51133:7-44
    15A.C.D. Nardo51133:8-54
    16Acerrana50324:6-23
    17Real Normanna50233:6-32
    18Gravina50235:11-62

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