Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Quaini A. 🟨,
- 37', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
- 44', Celli A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Quaini A. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
- 57', 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Bevilacqua M. ⚽,
- 63', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Buttaro A. (Own goal),
- 70', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
- 75', Morelli G. ↓, Castaldi G. ↑,
- 75', Castorri G. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
- 84', Winkelmann T. ↓, Petermann D. ↑,
- 86', Bevilacqua M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
- 89', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
- 90+7', D'Amico F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Foggia 15.5% | Draw 26.2% | Catania 58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Foggia - Catania Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.92 ↓ (8.19) |
3.5 ↓ (4.3) |
1.57 ↑ (1.37) |
9% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Foggia - Catania?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Catania will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.
- Recent performances by Foggia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Catania is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Catania is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Foggia won against Catania?
Foggia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against Foggia?
Catania has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Foggia - Catania were as follows:
24.08.2025
Catania
-
Foggia
6:0
02.03.2025
Catania
-
Foggia
1:1
20.10.2024
Foggia
-
Catania
2:2
02.02.2024
Foggia
-
Catania
1:1
25.09.2023
Catania
-
Foggia
0:2
Latest results of Catania
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | Catania | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Casertana | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | Casarano | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Potenza | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Altamura | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 13 | Sorrento | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 32:40 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Cavese | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 31 |
| 15 | Picerno | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Latina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Trapani | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Foggia | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 35:44 | -9 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation