Darya Kasatkina vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/02/2025 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	0
Double Faults
3	2
1st Serve Percentage
66%	59%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (28/49)	59% (27/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (12/25)	63% (20/32)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)	75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
41% (19/46)	43% (21/49)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (12/32)	52% (13/25)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)	56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
54% (40/74)	60% (47/78)
Return Points Won
40% (31/78)	46% (34/74)
Total Points Won
47% (71/152)	53% (81/152)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)	80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)	45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)	62% (13/21)

Chances of winning

Darya Kasatkina
37.7%

Jessica Pegula
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.23)		1.53 ↓ (1.67)	4.9% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 56.3% – 96.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navy won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Navy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Navy have a series of guest games.
Recently Lehigh have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Navy won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1373:1381 (average 68.7:69.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Navy won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 643:632 (average 71.4:70.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Jessica Pegula?

Darya Kasatkina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Darya Kasatkina?

Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula were as follows:

06.04.2024 Jessica Pegula - Darya Kasatkina 1:2

12.01.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula Kasatkina D. walkover

29.09.2023 Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula 0:2

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

11.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Elina Avanesyan 2:0 ✺

10.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Polina Kudermetova 2:0 ✺

10.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Anastasia Potapova Canceled ✺

05.02.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Darya Kasatkina 2:1 ✺

20.01.2025 Emma Navarro - Darya Kasatkina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Jessica Pegula

11.02.2025 Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

17.01.2025 Olga Danilovic - Jessica Pegula 2:0 ✺

14.01.2025 Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

13.01.2025 Maya Joint - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

11.01.2025 Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Raducanu E. (WC)	Alexandrova E.	0 : 2
3	Mertens E.	Tauson C. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Bucsa C. (Q)	Kalinskaya A. (14)	2 : 1
5	Kasatkina D. (10)	Kudermetova P. (LL)	2 : 0
6	Avanesyan E.	Wang Xin.	2 : 1
7	Vondrousova M.	Svitolina E.	1 : 2
8	Bye	Pegula J. (6)
9	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
10	Kostyuk M.	Sonmez Z. (WC)	2 : 0
11	Kudermetova V. (Q)	Linette M.	1 : 2
12	Frech M.	Haddad Maia B. (13)	2 : 1
13	Badosa P. (9)	Zarazua R. (LL)	2 : 1
14	Anisimova A.	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
15	Minnen G. (Q)	Fernandez L.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Navarro E. (8)
17	Zheng Q. (7)	Bye
18	Kessler M.	Jabeur O.	0 : 2
19	Krueger A.	Kenin S. (WC)	0 : 2
20	Parks A. (Q)	Shnaider D. (11)	2 : 0
21	Samsonova L. (16)	Sun L.	2 : 0
22	Ito A. (Q)	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
23	Yuan Y.	Garcia C. (WC)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Paolini J. (4)
25	Rybakina E. (5)	Bye
26	Yastremska D.	Stearns P.	0 : 2
27	Kalinina A.	Sramkova R.	0 : 2
28	Volynets K. (Q)	Andreeva M. (12)	1 : 2
29	Vekic D. (15)	Noskova L.	0 : 2
30	Putintseva Y.	Uchijima M. (Q)	2 : 1
31	Sakkari M.	Ruse G. (RET.) (Q)	1 : 1
32	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Alexandrova E.	1 : 2
2	Mertens E.	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
3	Kasatkina D. (10)	Avanesyan E.	2 : 0
4	Svitolina E.	Pegula J. (6)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (3)	Kostyuk M.	0 : 2
6	Linette M.	Frech M.	2 : 1
7	Badosa P. (9)	Anisimova A.	0 : 2
8	Fernandez L.	Navarro E. (8)	2 : 0
9	Zheng Q. (7)	Jabeur O.	0 : 2
10	Kenin S.	Parks A.	2 : 1
11	Samsonova L. (16)	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
12	Garcia C.	Paolini J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (5)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
14	Sramkova R.	Andreeva M. (12)	2 : 1
15	Noskova L.	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
16	Sakkari M.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alexandrova E.	Mertens E.	2 : 0
2	Kasatkina D. (10)	Pegula J. (6)	0 : 2
3	Kostyuk M.	Linette M.	2 : 0
4	Anisimova A.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
5	Jabeur O.	Kenin S.	2 : 0
6	Ostapenko J.	Paolini J. (4)	2 : 0
7	Rybakina E. (5)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
8	Noskova L.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alexandrova E.	Pegula J. (6)	2 : 1
2	Kostyuk M.	Anisimova A.	1 : 2
3	Jabeur O.	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
4	Rybakina E. (5)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alexandrova E.	Anisimova A.	0 : 2
2	Ostapenko J.	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Anisimova A.

Ostapenko J.

2 : 0