KeuPa vs Jokerit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mestis
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1528
Shots off target
1112
Shooting PCT
6.67% (1/15)7.14% (2/28)
Blocked shots
614
Goalkeeper Saves
2614
Saves PCT
92.86% (26/28)93.33% (14/15)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:00, 1 - 0, Lehtonen W. (G), Kesajarvi A. (A),
  • 07:35, 1 - 1, Liuksiala J. (G), Lahnaviik R. (A), Tumanovs M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 14:51, 1 - 2, Forslund A. (G), Suni O. (A), Heinonen S. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


KeuPa
13.7%
Draw
17%
Jokerit
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 16.5% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 12.2% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jokerit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KeuPa - Jokerit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.63
    (7.2)
    5.36
    (5.63)
    1.32
    (1.32)
    9.8%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)
    • Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 0.
    • KeuPa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Jokerit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Jokerit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Jokerit has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Jokerit is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:64. (average 1.1:4.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:30. (average 0.9:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KeuPa - Jokerit were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Jokerit - KeuPa 8:2
    19.12.2025 KeuPa - Jokerit 0:4
    17.10.2025 KeuPa - Jokerit 2:3
    25.09.2025 Jokerit - KeuPa 5:1
    01.03.2025 KeuPa - Jokerit 0:3
    Latest results of KeuPa
    17.02.2026 Imatran Ketterä - KeuPa 1:2
    14.02.2026 KeuPa - Imatran Ketterä 3:1
    12.02.2026 KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola 5:2
    10.02.2026 IPK - KeuPa 2:4
    07.02.2026 KeuPa - TuTo 4:3
    Latest results of Jokerit
    17.02.2026 Jokerit - Kiekko-Vantaa 4:1
    14.02.2026 Jokerit - RoKi 5:1
    07.02.2026 Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä 5:1
    06.02.2026 Nokian Pyry - Jokerit 3:2
    04.02.2026 Jokerit - KeuPa 8:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Jokerit (1)Kiekko-Pojat (8)4 : 2
    2K-Vantaa (4)TUTO (5)4 : 1
    3IPK (2)Hermes (7)4 : 1
    4Kettera (3)RoKi (6)4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jokerit (1)K-Vantaa (4)
    2IPK (2)Kettera (3)