Result
2:2
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/425) | 79% (359/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/425) | 79% (359/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 55% (44/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (47/85) | 62% (85/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, Uneken J. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, van Eijma R. (Own goal),
- 28', 1 - 2, Uneken J. ⚽, Held N. (A),
- 29', Druijf F. 🟨,
- 36', Held N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Fage R. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
- 63', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Ghogli I. ↑,
- 63', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 63', Providence R. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 70', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van Gelderen L. ↑,
- 70', Cleonise D. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 75', el Dahri H. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 76', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Wouters L. (Own goal),
- 79', Kuster H. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
- 79', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 86', Ghogli I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Jacobs Ja. 🟨,
- 90+3', van der Veen Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almere City
38.9% | Draw
32% | Waalwijk
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1%)
Almere City - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(1.89) |
3.15 ↓
(3.9) |
3.58 ↑
(3.37) |
-3.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Almere City - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
- Almere City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waalwijk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Almere City has had a series of away games.
- Almere City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
van Gelderen L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Waalwijk?
Almere City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Almere City?
Waalwijk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Waalwijk were as follows:
30.08.2025
Waalwijk
-
Almere City
2:0
02.02.2025
Almere City
-
Waalwijk
1:4
03.11.2024
Waalwijk
-
Almere City
2:0
03.08.2024
Almere City
-
Waalwijk
1:0
04.04.2024
Waalwijk
-
Almere City
0:0
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
