Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group II Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście
Result
3:2
06/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Paczuk P. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Stasiak A. ,
  • 42', Paczuk P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Stawski J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Jozwicki K. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Roznowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Elana Toruń
44.4%
Draw
26.2%
Flota Świnoujście
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 24.3% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 24.5% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elana Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elana Toruń's performance.
  • Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flota Świnoujście might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elana Toruń that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flota Świnoujście could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.39)
    3.52
    (3.73)
    3.13
    (2.39)
    8.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Elana Toruń have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Flota is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Elana Toruń may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Elana Toruń has had a series of away games.
    • Elana Toruń is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elana Toruń won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście 0:2
    10.08.2024 Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń 3:1
    04.05.2024 Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście 0:0
    07.10.2023 Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń 3:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza972026:71923
    2Cartusia Kartuzy971121:81322
    3Swinoujscie962117:71020
    4Luzino953123:121118
    5Sroda953116:11518
    6Blekitni Stargard952222:14817
    7Lech Poznan II951328:171116
    8Elana Torun942319:15414
    9Unia Swarzedz933312:13-112
    10Pogon Szczecin II931515:22-710
    11Kluczevia Stargard923413:14-19
    12Notec Czarnkow92258:13-58
    13Lipno Steszew922512:20-88
    14Nowe Skalmierzyce92255:14-98
    15Wda Swiecie92257:22-158
    16Wrzesnia92079:17-86
    17Tluchowo91265:16-115
    18Rewal91173:19-164

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation