Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 75% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 52% (31/60) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 41% (11/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/8 | 6/14 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 37% (23/63) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 67% (14/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 8/14 | 6/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 58 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (47/84) | 48% (42/87) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (45/87) | 44% (37/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (92/171) | 46% (79/171) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 43% (13/30) |
Chances of winning
Mariano Navone
69.7% | Daniel Merida Aguilar
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.39) |
|
3.13 ↑
(2.96) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Sets - Navone (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Navone is ranked ATP: 60. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 136.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Navone is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mariano Navone won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Mariano Navone has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Mariano Navone?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
Latest results of Mariano Navone
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Diallo G. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Molcan A. (Q) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Boitan G. A. (WC) | Moller E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. (Alt) | Navone M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Borges N. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. | Jianu F. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Turcanu R. D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Maestrelli F. | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Altmaier D. (6) | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Prizmic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sakellaridis S. (Q) | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Marozsan F. (3) | |
| 13 | Baez S. (5) | Gaubas V. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | Droguet T. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Virtanen O. (Alt) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Mannarino A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Diallo G. (1) | Molcan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Moller E. | Navone M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. (4) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Altmaier D. (6) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Sakellaridis S. | Marozsan F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Baez S. (5) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Merida Aguilar D. | Mannarino A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Molcan A. | Navone M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Altmaier D. (6) | Marozsan F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Droguet T. (RET.) | Merida Aguilar D. | 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Navone M. (7) | Van De Zandschulp B. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. (3) | Merida Aguilar D. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Navone M. (7) | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 1 |
