Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Napolitano G. ⚽,
- 39', Benedetti G. 🟨,
- 44', Napolitano G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Napolitano G. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
- 46', Dalmonte N. ↓, Capone C. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Giannotti P. ⚽,
- 62', Giannotti P. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 62', Ebone T. ↓, Pellegrini J. ↑,
- 64', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
- 69', Chinetti F. ↓, Ladisa M. ↑,
- 74', Iori M. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
- 76', Colangiuli V. 🟨,
- 78', Anatriello G. 🟨,
- 81', Miranda K. ↓, Trainotti A. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 87', Colangiuli V. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Trento 56.6% | Draw 25.4% | Lumezzane 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)The ML Model estimate for Trento aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Trento - Lumezzane Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.71) |
3.63 ↑ (3.54) |
5.13 ↑ (4.54) |
8.3% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 2.
- Trento is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lumezzane is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Trento is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Trento will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trento won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Trento won against Lumezzane?
Trento has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Trento?
Lumezzane has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trento - Lumezzane were as follows:
19.10.2025
Lumezzane
-
Trento
1:1
16.02.2025
Trento
-
Lumezzane
2:2
05.10.2024
Lumezzane
-
Trento
0:2
13.02.2024
Lumezzane
-
Trento
0:2
07.10.2023
Trento
-
Lumezzane
0:0
Latest results of Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation