Kalmar vs Södertälje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Kalmar
55.3%
Draw
21.3%
Södertälje
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 22.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 24.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kalmar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Södertälje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kalmar - Södertälje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.84)
    4.32
    (4.13)
    4.01
    (3.46)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kalmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kalmar is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:60. (average 2.8:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 3.1:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kalmar - Södertälje were as follows:
    10.02.2026 Södertälje - Kalmar 2:1
    17.12.2025 Kalmar - Södertälje 6:5
    19.11.2025 Kalmar - Södertälje 2:1
    29.09.2025 Södertälje - Kalmar 4:2
    25.03.2025 Södertälje - Kalmar 2:0
    Latest results of Kalmar
    06.03.2026 Östersund - Kalmar 1:4
    04.03.2026 BIK Karlskoga - Kalmar 1:3
    28.02.2026 Kalmar - Oskarshamn 2:3
    27.02.2026 Kalmar - Mora 4:2
    25.02.2026 Troja Ljungby - Kalmar 3:1
    Latest results of Södertälje
    11.03.2026 Södertälje - Mora 6:1
    09.03.2026 Mora - Södertälje 0:2
    04.03.2026 Vimmerby - Södertälje 2:1
    01.03.2026 Södertälje - Östersund 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1IF Bjorkloven (1)Bye
    2Oskarshamn (8)Almtuna (9)2 : 0
    3Modo (4)Bye
    4ByeAIK (5)
    5Kalmar (2)Bye
    6Sodertalje (7)Mora (10)2 : 0
    7BIK Karlskoga (3)Bye
    8ByeNybro (6)

    Quarter-finals
    1IF Bjorkloven (1)Oskarshamn (8)
    2Modo (4)AIK (5)
    3Kalmar (2)Sodertalje (7)
    4BIK Karlskoga (3)Nybro (6)