Sorrento vs ACR Messina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C Sorrento - ACR Messina
Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Total shots
812
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gelli J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Crimi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ingrosso G. , Vicario J. ,
  • 46', Palella A. , Cangianiello S. ,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Rossetti M. ,
  • 55', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
  • 58', Rossetti M. , Scala S. ,
  • 58', Pedicillo L. , Lia D. ,
  • 63', Musso A. , Polidori A. ,
  • 63', Colombini L. , Biagetti C. ,
  • 65', Petrucci D. , Dell'Aquila F. ,
  • 67', Cangianiello S. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Luciani P. ,
  • 85', Cuccurullo M. 🟥,
  • 86', Guadagni G. , Matera A. ,
  • 88', Garofalo V. , Chiarella M. ,
  • 90', Di Somma V. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Di Somma V. ,

Chances of winning


Sorrento
47.5%
Draw
27.9%
ACR Messina
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 29.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.4% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorrento's performance.
  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sorrento - ACR Messina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.32)
    3.3
    (3.15)
    3.72
    (2.97)
    8.9%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Sorrento has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches ACR Messina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sorrento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sorrento is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sorrento: Bolsius D. (Knee Injury) Panico C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in ACR Messina: Curtosi F. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorrento - ACR Messina were as follows:
    24.11.2024 ACR Messina - Sorrento 0:1
    14.02.2024 ACR Messina - Sorrento 2:0
    08.10.2023 Sorrento - ACR Messina 1:0
    Latest results of Sorrento
    29.03.2025 Picerno - Sorrento 2:0
    22.03.2025 Sorrento - Latina 1:1
    12.03.2025 Sorrento - Juventus U23 0:1
    09.03.2025 Foggia - Sorrento 2:1
    02.03.2025 Benevento - Sorrento 1:1
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    29.03.2025 ACR Messina - Altamura 3:1
    23.03.2025 Giugliano - ACR Messina 2:3
    12.03.2025 Cavese - ACR Messina 3:3
    08.03.2025 ACR Messina - Avellino 0:1
    02.03.2025 Monopoli - ACR Messina 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Catania330011:0119
    2Monopoli42116:7-17
    3Benevento32014:316
    4Salernitana22003:126
    5Casertana32017:526
    6Potenza41218:805
    7Audace Cerignola41215:505
    8Crotone41218:535
    9Picerno31206:515
    10Giugliano31115:504
    11Latina41123:9-64
    12Foggia41122:8-64
    13Casarano31113:6-34
    14Atalanta U2321016:333
    15Altamura31023:8-53
    16Cosenza30213:4-12
    17Cavese30121:3-21
    18Sorrento30121:3-21
    19Siracusa30032:6-40
    20Trapani32108:17-1

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation