Alacranes de Durango vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros
Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alacranes de Durango
50.9%
Draw
25.9%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.17)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    3.91
    (2.94)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 4.
    • Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gavilanes Matamoros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:2 (average 2.5:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 1:0
    09.03.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 4:1
    07.10.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Alacranes de Durango 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1IrapuatoPeriban1 : 2, 1 : 1