Grigor Dimitrov vs Karen Khachanov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/03/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1311
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
71%64%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (54/67)76% (53/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
71% (20/28)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)80% (8/10)
1st Return Points Won
24% (17/70)19% (13/67)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (20/40)29% (8/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (2/10)0% (0/5)
Winners
4624
Unforced Errors
4131
Net Points Won
92% (24/26)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
78% (74/95)66% (73/110)
Return Points Won
34% (37/110)22% (21/95)
Total Points Won
54% (111/205)46% (94/205)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
100% (17/17)88% (15/17)
Return Games Won
12% (2/17)0% (0/17)
Total Games Won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Grigor Dimitrov
54.8%
Karen Khachanov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grigor Dimitrov's performance.
  • Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karen Khachanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grigor Dimitrov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.97)

    2.09
    (1.84)
    6.1%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Khachanov will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 57.5%89.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 15. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 23.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 4.
    • Dimitrov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Khachanov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov 0:2
    10.02.2024 Karen Khachanov - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2
    09.10.2023 Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov 2:0
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)