Real Murcia vs Algeciras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
81
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Gonzaga M. ,
  • 35', Bosilj D. 🟨,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ruiz V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Djanbou S. , Juan Carlos ,
  • 54', Turrillo I. , Castro O. ,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Garrido D. ,
  • 57', Zenitagoia E. , Sylla A. ,
  • 57', Mier J. , Joao Pedro Palmberg ,
  • 64', Benito P. A. P. , Jorquera Romero J. ,
  • 67', Obeng I. , Rastrojo J. ,
  • 79', Gil O. , Antonio David ,
  • 80', Garcia J. , Arauz C. ,
  • 80', Garrido D. , Aviles J. ,
  • 80', Marquez J. , Adot Barandiaran P. A. ,
  • 90+1', Sylla A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gonzaga M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Murcia
48.4%
Draw
30.5%
Algeciras
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 30.2% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 29.4% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Real Murcia - Algeciras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.76)
    3.02
    (3.03)
    4.31
    (5.11)
    9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Algeciras?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Algeciras (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Murcia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Algeciras were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Algeciras - Real Murcia 1:0
    24.05.2025 Real Murcia - Algeciras 2:1
    16.11.2024 Algeciras - Real Murcia 1:1
    07.04.2024 Algeciras - Real Murcia 0:1
    15.10.2023 Real Murcia - Algeciras 1:0
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    18.01.2026 Ibiza - Real Murcia 2:0
    11.01.2026 Real Murcia - Hércules 1:1
    30.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:2
    21.12.2025 Real Murcia - CE Europa 3:1
    Latest results of Algeciras
    18.01.2026 Algeciras - Betis B 2:0
    11.01.2026 Tarazona - Algeciras 2:2
    03.01.2026 Algeciras - Sevilla B 3:0
    19.12.2025 Algeciras - Villarreal B 0:0
    14.12.2025 Teruel - Algeciras 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell341713446:202664
    2Eldense341711650:321862
    3Atl. Madrid B341710755:352061
    4CE Europa351511948:43556
    5Villarreal B341413747:281955
    6FC Cartagena SAD3514111032:32053
    7Algeciras3514101138:36252
    8Alcorcon3511141036:33347
    9Hercules3412111138:38047
    10Antequera351381442:43-147
    11Teruel3412111126:29-347
    12Murcia341291334:35-145
    13UD Ibiza3411111234:32244
    14Gimnastic351271637:45-843
    15Tarazona3410111329:35-641
    16Torremolinos349131239:44-540
    17Betis B351081741:56-1538
    18Marbella34871930:44-1431
    19Sanluqueno34781926:47-2129
    20Sevilla FC B ✔ 355111918:39-2126

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sevilla FC B is Relegated to