Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
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| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Gonzaga M. ⚽,
- 35', Bosilj D. 🟨,
- 45', 🟨,
- 45+4', Ruiz V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Djanbou S. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
- 54', Turrillo I. ↓, Castro O. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 2, Garrido D. ⚽,
- 57', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
- 57', Mier J. ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
- 64', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
- 67', Obeng I. ↓, Rastrojo J. ↑,
- 79', Gil O. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
- 80', Garcia J. ↓, Arauz C. ↑,
- 80', Garrido D. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
- 80', Marquez J. ↓, Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↑,
- 90+1', Sylla A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gonzaga M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Murcia 48.4% | Draw 30.5% | Algeciras 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Real Murcia - Algeciras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.76) |
3.02 ↓ (3.03) |
4.31 ↓ (5.11) |
9% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Algeciras?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Algeciras (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Murcia is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Algeciras?
Real Murcia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Algeciras won against Real Murcia?
Algeciras has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Algeciras were as follows:
28.09.2025
Algeciras
-
Real Murcia
1:0
24.05.2025
Real Murcia
-
Algeciras
2:1
16.11.2024
Algeciras
-
Real Murcia
1:1
07.04.2024
Algeciras
-
Real Murcia
0:1
15.10.2023
Real Murcia
-
Algeciras
1:0
Latest results of Real Murcia
Latest results of Algeciras
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Eldense | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Teruel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Villarreal B | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | Antequera | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Hercules | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Murcia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 17 | Sanluqueno | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Betis B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Sevilla FC B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Marbella | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation