Saint-Gilloise vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Cup
Result
4:1
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Belgian Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.360.60
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
94
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
44
Passes
77% (288/374)72% (274/382)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.360.60
xG on target (xGOT)
3.590.87
Total shots
167
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
60
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
10
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
919
Passes
77% (288/374)72% (274/382)
Long passes
50% (30/60)40% (30/75)
Passes in final third
68% (102/150)55% (53/96)
Crosses
35% (6/17)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.780.39
Throw ins
1316
Fouls
199
Tackles
50% (4/8)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4561
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
198
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.873.59
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, David P. ⚽,
  • 3', 1 - 1, Scheidler A. ⚽, Nzita M. (A),
  • 19', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 27', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Fuseini M. ⚽, David P. (A),
  • 57', Boukamir A. 🟨,
  • 59', Bernier A. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
  • 71', Boukamir A. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
  • 71', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
  • 72', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Fuseini M. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
  • 80', Blum L. 🟨,
  • 80', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
  • 80', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Sykes R. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
  • 90', David P. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
  • 90', Mac Allister K. ↓, Leysen F. ↑,
  • 90+2', Khalaili A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Florucz R. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
62.6%		Draw
22.3%		Charleroi
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 21.9% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 23.5% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-4%)
    •

    Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.5 ↑
    (1.42)    		 4.2 ↓
    (4.3)    		 6.24 ↓
    (7.9)    		 6.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Charleroi (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Charleroi (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Union SG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Union SG is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Union SG will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:7. (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 0:0
    14.12.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    18.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi 3:1
    11.01.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    16.08.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi 1:0
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    08.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière 2:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 0:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge 1:0 ✺
    28.01.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta 1:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Charleroi
    07.02.2026 Charleroi - Cercle Brugge 3:4 ✺
    04.02.2026 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 0:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Sint-Truidense - Charleroi 0:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Royal Antwerp - Charleroi 0:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Charleroi - Standard Liège 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1RFC LiegeCharleroi0 : 1
    2KV MechelenK. Lierse S.K.2 : 1
    3SeraingLeuven1 : 3
    4Club Brugge KVEendracht Aalst6 : 1
    5DenderOC Charleroi4 : 2
    6BeverenSt. Liege1 : 2
    7Tubize-BraineRoyale Union SG0 : 3
    8Belisia BilzenWaregem1 : 4
    9GenkRWDM Brussels3 : 0
    10NinoveAnderlecht0 : 2
    11Cercle Brugge KSVKortrijk1 : 0
    12GentPatro Eisden5 : 0
    13AntwerpEupen3 : 1
    14KnokkeSt. Truiden0 : 1
    15Beerschot VAWesterlo3 : 2
    16HeistRAAL La Louviere1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1CharleroiKV Mechelen2 : 0
    2LeuvenClub Brugge KV1 : 2
    3DenderSt. Liege3 : 2
    4Royale Union SGWaregem2 : 1
    5GenkAnderlecht1 : 3
    6Cercle Brugge KSVGent1 : 3
    7AntwerpSt. Truiden4 : 3
    8Beerschot VARAAL La Louviere1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1CharleroiClub Brugge KV2 : 0
    2DenderRoyale Union SG0 : 2
    3AnderlechtGent1 : 0
    4AntwerpRAAL La Louviere2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CharleroiRoyale Union SG1 : 4, 0 : 0
    2AnderlechtAntwerp4 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Royale Union SGAnderlecht
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