Result
1:2
10/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 12
- Referee: Mackie B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/388) | 77% (307/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/388) | 77% (307/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (64/110) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Di Sipio I. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Brown K. ⚽, Copus-Brown L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 1, Trimis P. ⚽, Prakash A. (A),
- 66', Kraszula G. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Trimis P. (A),
- 75', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Ayres M. ↑,
- 75', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
- 75', Lancaster C. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
- 84', Karipidis Z. ↓, Page O. ↑,
- 87', Prakash A. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
- 87', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
- 88', Quilligan T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
28.9% | Draw
25.9% | Central Coast Mariners
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3%)
Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.88) |
3.54 ↑
(3.28) |
2.02 ↓
(2.21) |
9.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Central Coast (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Newcastle Jets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Central Coast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Central Coast Mariners?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
07.12.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
4:1
19.04.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
01.02.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
5:1
28.01.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
14.10.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
0:1
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
