Result
1:2
10/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 12
- Referee: Mackie B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | HOY TV |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/388) | 77% (307/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/388) | 77% (307/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (64/110) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Di Sipio I. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Brown K. ⚽, Copus-Brown L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 1, Trimis P. ⚽, Prakash A. (A),
- 66', Kraszula G. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Trimis P. (A),
- 75', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Ayres M. ↑,
- 75', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
- 75', Lancaster C. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
- 84', Karipidis Z. ↓, Page O. ↑,
- 87', Prakash A. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
- 87', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
- 88', Quilligan T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets 28.9% | Draw 25.9% | Central Coast Mariners 45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.18 ↑ (2.88) |
3.54 ↑ (3.28) |
2.02 ↓ (2.21) |
9.1% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Newcastle Jets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Central Coast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Central Coast Mariners?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
07.12.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
4:1
19.04.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
01.02.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
5:1
28.01.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
14.10.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Newcastle Jets
0:1
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Central Coast Mariners W | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Perth W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 15 |
| 6 | Brisbane Roar W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Newcastle W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Adelaide W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)