Incheon United vs Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 2 Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 2 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
worldWorldK League TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
88
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
36
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1416
Fouls
1514
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', Choi Seung-gu 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Lee Jeong-Bin ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Elionay , Leandro Ribeiro (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kim Min-Seog , Jung Won-Jin ,
  • 46', Choi Seung-gu , Kim Bo-Sub ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Jung Won-Jin , Kim Bo-Sub (A),
  • 55', Lee Jun-Sang , Kim Jeong-Hwan ,
  • 70', Kim Seong-Min , Lee Sang-Gi ,
  • 70', Park Seung-Ho , Shin Jin-Ho ,
  • 71', Jung Won-Jin 🟨,
  • 71', Lee Jeong-Bin 🟨,
  • 75', Lee Jeong-Bin , Park Sang-Hyeok ,
  • 75', Leandro Ribeiro , Samuel Andrade ,
  • 78', Gerso , Kim Geon-Ung ,
  • 87', Elionay 🟨,
  • 88', Venicio 🟨,
  • 90', Park Su-bin , Kang Eui-Bin ,
  • 90+1', Lee Sang-Min , Ryu Jun-sun ,

Chances of winning


Incheon United
53.9%
Draw
25.9%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 24.1% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 22.6% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.6)
    3.54
    (3.85)
    4.64
    (5.18)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2.
    • Incheon is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Seongnam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Incheon is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Incheon will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United 2:1
    Latest results of Incheon United
    Latest results of Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
    South Korean K-League 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Incheon26194351:173461
    2Suwon Bluewings26156552:351751
    3Jeonnam26129542:321045
    4Bucheon FC 199526126842:36642
    5Busan26117832:28440
    6Seoul E-Land26910736:35137
    7Gimpo FC26910731:23837
    8Seongnam26910725:23237
    9Asan26710935:33231
    10Hwaseong26681224:33-926
    11Cheongju26661427:47-2024
    12Gyeongnam26651523:44-2123
    13Cheonan City26551626:41-1520
    14Ansan Greeners26481420:39-1920

          Promotion ~ K League 1
          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Promotion: )
          Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)