IPK vs Jokerit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mestis
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3635
Shots off target
2116
Shooting PCT
8.33% (3/36)8.57% (3/35)
Blocked shots
125
Goalkeeper Saves
3233
Saves PCT
91.43% (32/35)91.67% (33/36)
Penalties
69
PIM
1239
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/9)33.33% (2/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (4/6)100% (9/9)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:57, 0 - 1, Mustonen A. (G), Leskinen V. (A),
  • 09:03, 0 - 2, Kangasniemi O. (G), Rantakari O. (A), Mustonen A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:04, 1 - 2, Samitis K. (G), Ring L. (A), Leppanen T. (A2)
  • 03:31, 2 - 2, Lausniemi A. (G), Vartiainen T. (A), Leppanen T. (A2)
  • 14:32, 2 - 3, Henriksson J. (G), Suni O. (A), Tuomola R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 19:33, 3 - 3, Ring L. (G), Karppinen A. (A), Valtola K. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 3)
  • 1, Suni O. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Samitis K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Henriksson J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Ring L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kangasniemi O. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Hattunen M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Leskinen V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Vartiainen T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Mustonen A. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


IPK
32.7%
Draw
22.2%
Jokerit
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 24.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 26.2% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • IPK - Jokerit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3.1)
    4.11
    (3.82)
    2.03
    (2.03)
    9.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • IPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, IPK has had a series of home games.
    • Jokerit will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, IPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 39:56. (average 2.2:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IPK - Jokerit were as follows:
    02.01.2026 IPK - Jokerit 0:1
    27.11.2025 Jokerit - IPK 4:2
    11.10.2025 IPK - Jokerit 3:2
    11.09.2025 Jokerit - IPK 4:1
    31.03.2025 Jokerit - IPK 3:2
    Latest results of IPK
    24.01.2026 KeuPa - IPK 2:4
    23.01.2026 IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa 4:7
    16.01.2026 IPK - TuTo 2:5
    13.01.2026 IPK - KeuPa 6:3
    10.01.2026 IPK - RoKi 5:1
    Latest results of Jokerit
    30.01.2026 Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit 4:2
    24.01.2026 TuTo - Jokerit 0:3
    23.01.2026 Jokerit - TuTo 4:3
    20.01.2026 Jokerit - Nokian Pyry 3:4
    Finnish Mestis Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Jokerit ✔ 4628648163:90100
    2IPK ✔ 45207612159:13580
    3K-Vantaa ✔ 46204715142:13575
    4Kettera ✔ 45159714139:13270
    5RoKi ✔ 46184717145:14669
    6Kiekko-Pojat45156717142:14864
    7TUTO451621017127:12662
    8Hermes45166023138:16160
    9Pyry45134523127:16652
    10KeuPa ✔ 46117226126:16949

          Promotion ~ Mestis (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Mestis (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    K-Vantaa is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Kettera is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    RoKi is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)