Excelsior Maassluis vs ADO 20 Heemskerk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Tweede Divisie Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk
Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 33

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
105
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, van Mil M. , Semedo E. (A),
  • 34', Richard J. , Carbaat T. ,
  • 45', Langedijk P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Langedijk P. , van der Sande O. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, van der Sande O. ,
  • 77', Prijor D. , Knott S. ,
  • 79', Plank D. , Nagtegaal N. ,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Maassluis
67%
Draw
19.1%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 21.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 20.3% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.52)
    4.79
    (4.3)
    6.55
    (5.11)
    9.5%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie).
    • Excelsior Maassluis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ADO 20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Excelsior Maassluis will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk were as follows:
    04.02.2025 ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis 0:4
    23.03.2024 ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis 3:0
    14.10.2023 Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk 0:1
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Latest results of ADO 20 Heemskerk
    Draw
    Relegation

    Quarter-finals
    1SportlustScheveningen0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2VV DOVOKozakken Boys0 : 3, 2 : 0
    3Blauw GeelNoordwijk1 : 4, 2 : 1
    4MeerssenHarkemase Boys0 : 2, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1ScheveningenKozakken Boys0 : 1, 0 : 0
    2NoordwijkHarkemase Boys3 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Kozakken BoysNoordwijk4 : 0, 0 : 1