Excelsior Maassluis vs ADO 20 Heemskerk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 33

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
105
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, van Mil M. , Semedo E. (A),
  • 34', Richard J. , Carbaat T. ,
  • 45', Langedijk P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Langedijk P. , van der Sande O. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, van der Sande O. ,
  • 77', Prijor D. , Knott S. ,
  • 79', Plank D. , Nagtegaal N. ,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Maassluis
67%
Draw
19.1%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 21.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 20.3% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.52)
    4.79
    (4.3)
    6.55
    (5.11)
    9.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie).
    • Excelsior Maassluis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ADO 20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Excelsior Maassluis will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk were as follows:
    04.02.2025 ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis 0:4
    23.03.2024 ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis 3:0
    14.10.2023 Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk 0:1
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Latest results of ADO 20 Heemskerk
    Dutch Tweede Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hoek28165744:281653
    2Quick Boys28149553:292450
    3De Treffers28147747:311649
    4Rijnsburgse Boys28138759:451447
    5Hardenberg281441047:341346
    6Spakenburg28127961:54743
    7Katwijk281171044:44040
    8Jong Sparta Rotterdam28109960:57339
    9Jong Almere City281151258:51738
    10RKAV Volendam281221443:45-238
    11AFC281081036:40-438
    12GVVV281151242:49-738
    13Barendrecht281141352:67-1537
    14HFC281131429:37-836
    15Kozakken Boys281061236:47-1136
    16Excelsior Maassluis28761533:49-1627
    17ACV Assen28591438:56-1824
    18IJsselmeervogels28721937:56-1923

          Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
          Relegation