Nigeria vs Mozambique, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
4:0
05/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaTPA 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilBandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
burkina-fasoBurkina-fasoRTB
cameroonCameroonCanal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Dash TV, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
colombiaColombiaWin play, Win Sports
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI, RTI 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
equatorial-guineaEquatorial-guineaTVGE Internacional
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
gabonGabonGroupe Gabon Televisions
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceERT 2, ERT Sports 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalySportitalia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
maliMaliORTM
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, FOX One
moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
mozambiqueMozambiqueTVM 1, TV Miramar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
republic-of-the-congoRepublic-of-the-congoTele Congo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
togoTogoTVT
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ugandaUgandaUBC TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.10
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
222
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
89% (462/517)79% (267/337)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.10
xG on target (xGOT)
4.180.00
Total shots
222
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
416
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1322
Passes
89% (462/517)79% (267/337)
Long passes
68% (25/37)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
73% (101/139)59% (30/51)
Crosses
32% (8/25)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.080.15
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
2213
Tackles
44% (7/16)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
1019
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.004.18
Goals prevented
0.000.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, Adams A. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Adams A. (A),
  • 38', Ndidi W. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Onyeka F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Domingues ↓, Kambala M. ↑,
  • 46', Diogo Calila ↓, Nanani ↑,
  • 47', 3 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
  • 61', Witi ↓, Chamito ↑,
  • 62', Bangal F. 🟨,
  • 67', Bangal F. ↓, Ratifo S. ↑,
  • 68', Osimhen V. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Adams A. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
  • 82', Siluane E. ↓, Urrubal I. ↑,
  • 83', Onyeka F. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
  • 83', Ndidi W. ↓, Onyedika R. ↑,
  • 86', Lookman A. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
  • 86', Adams A. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Bassey C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nigeria
71.6%		Draw
18.4%		Mozambique
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 21.2% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 20.3% 10.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mozambique than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Nigeria - Mozambique Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33 ↓
    (1.4)    		 5.1 ↑
    (4.47)    		 9.39 ↑
    (8.65)    		 5.3%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nigeria - Mozambique?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Nigeria will win (votes: 37 - 88.1%). Mozambique will win (votes: 2 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nigeria: 78.3% – 97.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Nigeria (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Nigeria (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nigeria will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Mozambique (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Nigeria have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mozambique is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nigeria is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Nigeria: Dessers C. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mozambique: Diogo Calila (Injury) Nene (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nigeria - Mozambique were as follows:
    16.10.2023 Nigeria - Mozambique 3:2
    Latest results of Nigeria
    30.12.2025 Uganda - Nigeria 1:3 ✺
    27.12.2025 Nigeria - Tunisia 3:2 ✺
    23.12.2025 Nigeria - Tanzania 2:1 ✺
    16.12.2025 Egypt - Nigeria 2:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Nigeria - D.R. Congo 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Mozambique
    31.12.2025 Mozambique - Cameroon 1:2 ✺
    28.12.2025 Gabon - Mozambique 2:3 ✺
    24.12.2025 Ivory Coast - Mozambique 1:0 ✺
    17.12.2025 Angola - Mozambique 4:1
    17.11.2025 Chad - Mozambique 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    2027

    Final
    1DjiboutiSouth Sudan
    2ChadBurundi
    3SomaliaMauritius
    4SeychellesLesotho
    5EritreaEswatini
    6Sao Tome and PrincipeEthiopia
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