Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 14
- Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (621/712) | 72% (192/268) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 54 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (621/712) | 72% (192/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 29% (17/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (231/296) | 58% (50/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Le Roux L. 🟨,
- 19', Mohammed R. 🟥,
- 31', Bilalovic K. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 40', Pinas S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Karlsson M. 🟨,
- 61', Madjed M. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,
- 61', Erabi J. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
- 68', Bjornstrom A. 🟨,
- 72', Cibicki P. ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 76', Fofana I. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
- 80', Johansson C. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
- 80', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
- 85', Tekie T. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Kabore M. ⚽,
- 90+1', Kabore M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Larsson V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
68.5% | Draw
19% | Värnamo
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-1%)
Hammarby - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.37) |
4.98 ↑
(4.94) |
7.56 ↓
(7.95) |
5.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hammarby - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 83.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 2 - 50%). Värnamo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 1.
- Hammarby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Värnamo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Hammarby has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hammarby is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Abraham P.
(Inactive)
Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
Lindberg W.
(Inactive)
Winther F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Lohikangas A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Hammarby will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Värnamo?
Hammarby has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Hammarby?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Värnamo were as follows:
17.08.2024
Värnamo
-
Hammarby
0:3
05.05.2024
Hammarby
-
Värnamo
1:2
04.11.2023
Värnamo
-
Hammarby
0:0
29.05.2023
Hammarby
-
Värnamo
0:2
Latest results of Hammarby
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 29:12 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | AIK | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | GAIS | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Norrkoping | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Hacken | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 | Sirius | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11:27 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11:25 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of Hammarby - Värnamo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play |
