Result
2:4
05/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Blanco D. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 3.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/308) | 89% (578/648) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 3.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 4.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/308) | 89% (578/648) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (47/84) | 80% (139/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.92 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Dansoko B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', 2 - 0, Hunziker A. ⚽, Maluvunu E. (A),
- 58', 2 - 1, Bislimi U. ⚽, Mahou H. (A),
- 59', Marques M. ↓, Zanotti M. ↑,
- 60', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 62', Maluvunu E. ↓, Burkart N. ↑,
- 63', Zuffi L. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Dos Santos D. ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 3, Behrens K. ⚽,
- 68', Behrens K. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 4, Cimignani Y. ⚽,
- 71', Mahou H. 🟨,
- 74', Mahou H. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 77', Sidler S. 🟨,
- 77', Kasami P. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
- 77', Dansoko B. ↓, Momoh F. ↑,
- 77', Jankewitz A. ↓, Schneider R. ↑,
- 81', Hunziker A. 🟨,
- 88', Zuffi L. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 88', Cimignani Y. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
- 89', Behrens K. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Winterthur
12.2% | Draw
20.1% | Lugano
67.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Winterthur's form might have worsened.Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winterthur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-16.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Winterthur - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.08 ↑
(3.68) |
5.9 ↑
(3.93) |
1.67 ↓
(1.87) |
-13.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lugano will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Winterthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lugano is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Rohner F.
(Injury)
Spagnoli A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Kelvin D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Koutsias G.
(Inactive)
Zanotti M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Momoh F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Bottani M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Lugano?
Winterthur has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Winterthur?
Lugano has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Lugano were as follows:
25.01.2025
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:3
29.09.2024
Lugano
-
Winterthur
2:1
16.05.2024
Lugano
-
Winterthur
4:2
06.04.2024
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:2
10.12.2023
Lugano
-
Winterthur
2:1
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Basel | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Sion | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Luzern | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Lugano | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zurich | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Servette | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:28 | -18 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
