Result
38:24
19/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bunnings NPC
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 5)
- 2nd Half (31 - 19)
Chances of winning
Taranaki
64.5% | Draw
3.9% | Hawkes Bay
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taranaki's performance.Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taranaki that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawkes Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Taranaki - Hawkes Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.78) |
24.06 ↓
(26) |
2.92 ↑
(2.08) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 55.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Taranaki could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Taranaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Taranaki won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 365:275. (average 33.2:25).
- Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 188:116. (average 31.3:19.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Taranaki won against Hawkes Bay?
Taranaki has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawkes Bay won against Taranaki?
Hawkes Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Taranaki - Hawkes Bay were as follows:
20.09.2024
Hawkes Bay
-
Taranaki
19:63
20.10.2023
Taranaki
-
Hawkes Bay
22:19
Latest results of Taranaki
Latest results of Hawkes Bay
New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Canterbury | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 273:135 | 30 |
| 2 | Otago | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 246:205 | 26 |
| 3 | Taranaki | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 265:175 | 23 |
| 4 | Hawke's Bay | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 239:188 | 22 |
| 5 | Waikato | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 204:231 | 22 |
| 6 | Bay of Plenty | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 191:128 | 20 |
| 7 | Tasman | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 228:203 | 19 |
| 8 | Northland | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 162:169 | 16 |
| 9 | Manawatu | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 194:262 | 14 |
| 10 | Counties Manukau | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 238:253 | 14 |
| 11 | Wellington | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 275:265 | 14 |
| 12 | Southland | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 159:296 | 13 |
| 13 | Auckland | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 208:283 | 11 |
| 14 | North Harbour | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 144:233 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bunnings NPC (Play Offs: )
