Result
3:0
11/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 20
- Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (205/292) | 76% (326/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (205/292) | 76% (326/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (28/73) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/88) | 62% (87/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 39% (13/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Stefansson O. ⚽, Jonsson V. (A),
- 35', Gunnlaugsson H. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 0, Unnarsson G. ⚽, Vardic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
- 55', Sigurjonsson R. 🟨,
- 60', Jonsson K. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 61', Thomsen T. ↓, Magnusson G. ↑,
- 61', Omarsson O. ↓, Thorsteinsson A. ↑,
- 71', Unnarsson G. ↓, Hafsteinsson A. ↑,
- 73', Vardic M. ↓, Leosson G. ↑,
- 88', Stefansson O. ↓, Thorsteinsson S. ↑,
- 88', Berndsen B. ↓, Jonsson H. ↑,
- 90+5', Gudjonsson I. 🟨,
- 90+9', 3 - 0, Thorsteinsson S. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
Chances of winning
Akraness
18.5% | Draw
19.9% | Breiðablik
61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Akraness - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.06 ↑
(4.86) |
4.71 ↑
(4.48) |
1.52 ↓
(1.56) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Akraness - Breiðablik?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- Akraness is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
- Breiðablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 1.
- Akraness is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Breiðablik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Akraness may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Breiðablik is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 29:57. (average 1.5:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Akraness won against Breiðablik?
Akraness has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Akraness?
Breiðablik has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akraness - Breiðablik were as follows:
29.05.2025
Breiðablik
-
Akraness
1:4
18.01.2025
Breiðablik
-
Akraness
3:2
23.09.2024
Breiðablik
-
Akraness
2:0
25.08.2024
Akraness
-
Breiðablik
1:2
23.06.2024
Breiðablik
-
Akraness
1:1
Latest results of Akraness
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Valur | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 54:36 | 18 | 41 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
