Result
1:2
06/02/2026 at 22:06 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/348) | 92% (688/750) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/348) | 92% (688/750) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 71% (37/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 77% (102/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Alvarez E. ⚽,
- 23', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 29', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Romo L. 🟨,
- 43', Zaleta M. 🟨,
- 43', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Merolla L. ↓, Godinez S. ↑,
- 46', Aguirre D. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 2, Barcenas Y. ⚽,
- 58', Gutierrez B. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 66', Rubio B. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 66', Leyva A. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez A. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 77', Santos S. 🟨,
- 80', Sierra J. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 82', Castillo J. ↓, Tapias M. ↑,
- 82', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
12.7% | Draw
19.5% | Chivas Guadalajara
67.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.37 ↑
(4.41) |
4.88 ↑
(3.6) |
1.39 ↓
(1.73) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Guadalajara (1.63) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Guadalajara (1.51) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Guadalajara (1.41) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 27 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.
- Mazatlan is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guadalajara is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Guadalajara is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Mazatlan?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
18.10.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
2:0
11.04.2025
Mazatlan
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
20.07.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
2:0
16.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:2
26.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:3
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Club America | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Puebla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
