Result
4:1
07/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 22
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (434/501) | 68% (155/227) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (434/501) | 68% (155/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 31% (16/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (154/190) | 42% (27/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Sandler P. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Unuvar N. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Chery T. ⚽, Lebreton N. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 3 - 1, Onal B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Kaplan A. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 79', Benita M. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 79', van der Kust D. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 80', Pereira B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 80', Linssen B. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽, El Kachati Y. (A),
- 90+1', Sandler P. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
- 90+1', Chery T. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
- 90+2', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mesik I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
67.4% | Draw
19.4% | Heracles Almelo
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1%)
NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.37) |
4.92 ↓
(5) |
7.01 ↓
(7.13) |
5.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 50.8% – 88.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- Nijmegen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Heracles is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nijmegen is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Bruns T.
(Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heracles Almelo?
NEC Nijmegen has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
16.08.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:4
18.05.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:2
18.12.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
21.09.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heracles Almelo
1:2
03.02.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heracles Almelo
3:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
