Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Result
1:4
28/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
312
Errors
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
14
Base on Balls
43
Strikeouts
1014
Stolen bases
11
At bat
2737
Batting Average
0.1110.324

Chances of winning


Saitama Seibu Lions
49.5%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saitama Seibu Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Saitama Seibu Lions aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks aligns with the current prediction.
  • Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.04)

    1.97
    (1.82)
    4.2%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 1.
    • Recent form of Saitama has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 43:82. (average 2.2:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saitama won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:42. (average 1.8:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 1:4
    17.09.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Saitama Seibu Lions 11:8
    20.08.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Saitama Seibu Lions 5:4
    19.08.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Saitama Seibu Lions 5:2
    14.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 3:2
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)